Friday, March 26, 2010
Uninsureds under Reconciliation
The top graph shows the millions of Americans without health insurance coverage under CBO projections for the Accountable Care Act (PPACA). Declines don't start in any significant way until 2014.
Conclusion: America suffers legions of uninsureds until 2014. There is a four year wait for help for most.
Bending ESHI Curve
The bottom graph shows employer sponsored health insurance under PPACA. The starting point 176 million with workplace coverage (2008 Census estimates, the latest data available). The orange line represents CBO projections for employer coverage.
Taking population growth into account, the red line indicates employers providing the benefit at 2008 levels. The blue line shows the number with employer provided insurance using the 1998 rate. The employer shortfall under reform ranges from 35 to 50 million people.
Conclusion: A seismic shift is underway, transferring responsibility to individuals and a tapped out Uncle Sam. Will he have empty pockets by 2014? Will you?
by PEU Report/State of the Division at 3:06 PM