Monday, July 04, 2011

U.S. Population Growth Dependent on Immigrants

The United States is expected to grow from 311 million to 423 million in 2050, keeping the U.S. the third most populous country behind India and China.  Not mentioned in these projections is the role immigrants are projected to play in growing America.

The basic international migration assumptions for the original projections included assumptions about levels of in-migration (both legal immigration and unauthorized in-migration) of the foreign born to the United States and about rates of emigration from the United States. Net immigration in the previous projections was 912,000 in 2025 and 984,000 in 2050. In the new interim series, net immigration is 996,000 in 2025 and 1,097,000 in 2050.

It's roughly 1 million immigrants (legal and illegal) per year.  Over 40 years, that's 40 million immigrants or 36% of the growth.  Where will they enter, Ellis Island or El Paso?  I can't predict, but America's leaders clearly count on more poor, tired and huddled masses coming to our shores.

Update 10-12-14:  Immigrant growth can be seen clearly in one simple picture.

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